Disclaimer
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All backtest results are hypothetical and based on historical data. Trading involves risk and you may lose money.
The Setup
We backtested ZanSignals on BTC/USDT using the 4H timeframe from January 2019 to December 2023.
Parameters:
- Starting capital: $10,000
- Risk per trade: 1% of account
- Take Profit: TP2 (partial at TP1, remainder at TP2)
- Stop Loss: As indicated by ZanSignals
Results Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Return | +847% |
| Win Rate | 73% |
| Total Trades | 284 |
| Profit Factor | 2.4 |
| Max Drawdown | -18.3% |
| Avg Win | +4.2% |
| Avg Loss | -1.8% |
Year-by-Year Breakdown
2019: +124% — Bull market, strong performance
2020: +198% — COVID crash and recovery, signals avoided major drawdown
2021: +312% — Bull market peak, best year
2022: -34% — Bear market, difficult but manageable
2023: +147% — Recovery, strong rebound
Realistic Expectations
An 847% return over 5 years sounds impressive — and it is. But be realistic:
- You will not execute perfectly (emotions, missed signals)
- Slippage and fees reduce real returns by 5-15%
- A realistic expectation is 50-60% of backtest results in live trading
That is still exceptional compared to buy-and-hold.